Think pandemic will be behind us this fall?


Think again. The 1918 Flu pandemic lasted from 1917 -1920 before it subsided in a world population of 1.8 billion people.
Covid 19 has now firmly established itself in a population of 7.8 billion people. That means that the probability of nasty mutations of the virus have increased by a factor of 4+
While we now have vaccines against the strain of the day rolling out, the virus is way ahead if vaccinations in all but a few countries.
So, we can expect COVID to behave the same way as the flu virus with new vaccines required every year (and then some)
Resistance to vaccinations and community conflicts over the seriousness of the situation gives the virus added advantage in spreading.
As I see it, the only way to halt this critter in its tracks is to cut out international travel altogether, in order to avoid importing new smarter variants as they emerge in other populations, and work at lowering transmission at home.
That's essentially what Australia and New Zealand have done quite successfully.

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